Polls that spell doom for Democrat presidential nominee Kamala Harris’s November election hopes are now continuing to stack up.
Now that her “honeymoon” period is over following some initial buzz around the Democratic National Convention (DNC), polling increasingly shows Harris’s campaign struggling.
However, it’s hardly surprising as Harris previously ran for president in the 2020 election but failed miserably.
Harris dropped out long before the 2020 primaries for numerous reasons.
Her operation was riddled with infighting, lacked direction, and voters simply did not like her.
During the televised Democrat primary debates, she came across as nervous and made zero impact on voters.
She lacked any form of leadership qualities and was outshined by several other candidates.
Yet, Democrats now believe she has what it takes to be presidential and was thrust forward as the party’s nominee without a single vote.
She got a burst of enthusiasm when she was handed the 2024 nomination simply because she was replacing embattled President Joe Biden.
Nevertheless, Harris vows to keep pushing that failed agenda and more, suggesting Soviet-style price controls on goods to combat the inflation she and Biden started with their reckless spending.
With the Democrat convention out of the way, Harris saw no bump in the polls.
The race is razor-thin, drastically different from when Biden started running away from Trump.
In the states that matter, Harris now appears doomed.
The 45th president has now notched a few more points ahead of Harris in Nate Silver’s Electoral College probability model.
Trump has a 58 percent chance of clinching 270 votes—it was 56 percent earlier this week—and winning the election, with an 80 percent probability of winning a state carried by Biden in 2020.
#New winner model – Nate Silver
🔴 Trump 58% (Chance) 🔵 Harris 42% pic.twitter.com/B25GtMM9B6
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 4, 2024
If it’s Pennsylvania, it’s the ballgame.
Silver noted that Harris hasn’t had a lot of good polling.
He’d also be more bullish on her candidacy if she didn’t rehire all of Biden’s operatives.
Last, Pennsylvania and now Michigan “has become something of an issue for Harris.”
I think I’d buy the bull case for Harris a bit more if she hadn’t rehired so many of the Biden people.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 4, 2024
There was a surge of enthusiasm for Harris post-Biden dropout, but that might have happened no matter what. Thought convention speech was good, but bypassing Shapiro beginning to look bad and they haven’t really found a 2nd gear after Hot Brat Summer.https://t.co/SPS1OGKNw2
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 4, 2024
Setting the convention bounce stuff aside, there just hasn’t been much positive state polling data entering the system for Harris lately. https://t.co/EFKpUM9kET
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 3, 2024
In addition to Pennsylvania, Michigan has become something of an issue for Harris.
National polls and polls of other swing states mostly decent for Harris, but erosion in PA/MI hurts a lot in the model. pic.twitter.com/100ztjzkRq
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 4, 2024
Even CNN’s David Chalian dove into Trump’s massive advantage with non-college-educated whites in the battleground states.
However, Harris is also performing poorly with college-educated whites in Georgia:
CNN’s David Chalian Warns Of ‘Trouble Sign For Harris’ As She Lags Behind Trump’s ‘Huge Numbers’ With Key Demographic pic.twitter.com/Nos557lENn
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 4, 2024
Hearing lots of rumbling today that Harris camp regretting not picking Shapiro. https://t.co/b45oLCt60l
— Josh Kraushaar (@JoshKraushaar) September 5, 2024
Polls aside, Trump still has an immense battle ahead of him.
The Democrats don’t need a “winning” candidate, they just need someone who polls well enough that it’s feasible they could secure a surprise “win.”
Not only does Trump need enough votes to win, he needs to counter all the shenanigans that the Democrats will be plotting for the critical November election.
