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Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
@Mylovanov
Mar 6 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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Rubio: Ukraine is a proxy war, and we asked Ukraine not to sabotage diplomacy. Zelensky tried to undermine Trump. Russia is ready to talk - Ukraine wasn’t. That changed when the U.S. applied pressure.

1/
Rubio: Zelensky challenged Trump’s push for diplomacy, undermining the plan. That led to the dustup.

Now, there’s a shift. Both sides need to make concessions. Ukraine and Russia must come to the table. Only Trump can make that happen. 2/
Rubio: We asked Russia - are you interested in ending the war. Because there can’t be a change in our relationship if the war doesn’t stop. They said yes.

But Ukraine signaled no interest in peace. Hopefully, that’s changed. Now, we’ll see if a deal is possible. 3/
Rubio: Trump wants to be a peacemaker. Ending wars should be a good thing.

But when Trump pushes for peace, somehow it’s a problem.

This war has cost billions, taken hundreds of thousands of lives, and left destruction that will take generations to fix. 4/
Rubio: No prenegotiations—Ukraine and Russia will have their demands. Diplomacy must bridge the gap.

Every war that ended in a truce took hard diplomacy. This is no different. The question is: will both sides engage? 5/
Rubio: Peace talks only work if both sides engage. Russia won’t be easy, but we need them at the table.

Ukraine resisted talks before—now that’s changed. If true, there’s an opening. Ending this war benefits Ukraine, Russia, the U.S., and our allies. 6/

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 4
Zelensky: Ukraine can’t provide security guarantees during Russian Victory Day on May 9. That pissed off Fico.

Also, NYT: Zelensky rejected Russia's 3-day cease-fire proposal for May 9, calling it a theatrical show.

Ukraine continues to offer a 30-day unconditional truce. 1/ Image
Remeber that Russia routinely launches missile strikes during Kyiv visits by top foreign leaders. Both can play this game!

Military intelligence chief Budanov suggested parade guests "bring earplugs."

Russia responding threatening nukes. (again, for the 100s time) 2/
Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Zakharova called Zelensky's comments a "direct threat".

Medvedev warned "nobody guarantees Kyiv will see May 10" if Ukraine attacks on May 9. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 4
CIA veteran, Raplh Goff: We gave Ukraine enough weapons to bleed, not to win, writes The Times.

Biden’s White House did not give Kyiv the weapons to drive out Russia for fear of nuclear war. 1/ Image
After Putin seized Crimea in 2014, Goff warned the CIA: The seeds of WWIII are being sown in Donbas.

U.S. leadership ignored his warnings, saying they had "other priorities.” A chance to stop Russia early was lost. 2/
When Russia invaded in 2022, the U.S. and NATO feared escalation.

Goff says Biden's team deliberately avoided giving Ukraine enough arms to win, worried Putin might go nuclear if cornered. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 4
The Guardian: New Russian campaign of arson, disruption, and psychological warfare is unfolding across Europe.

Russia is bringing back KGB-style sabotage - but now with Telegram and crypto. 1/ Image
Russian intelligence - mainly the GRU’s unit 29155 - now recruits migrants and gig workers online.

They target vulnerable people: undocumented, low-paid, or simply desperate. Many don’t realize they’re working for the Kremlin. 2/
Recruits are told to do simple but harmful jobs: burn buildings, smash windows, hang flyers, or install hidden cameras.

The goal isn’t destruction - it’s anxiety. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 4
NY Post: Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff is under sharp criticism. Despite lacking diplomatic experience, he leads negotiations with Russia alone — without US diplomats and relies on Kremlin translators. 1/ Image
He holds two key roles: leading talks with Russia about the war in Ukraine, and managing negotiations on Hamas and Iran. Officials say this overload and inexperienced create serious risks for US foreign policy. 2/
In March, Witkoff said he secured a ceasefire with Hamas.

Witkoff: I thought we had an agreement. Maybe I was duped.

The deal collapsed four days later after Hamas changed its terms. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 3
Zelensky might be a better diplomat than most think he is.

So far, he is the only one who cut a deal with Trump, held his ground, and recovered from the Oval Office fiasco. 0/ Image
FT: Zelensky attracted Trump with a strategic trade: rare earths in exchange for American weapons.

Trump frames the deal as a win, saying it gives the U.S. economic benefits to justify continued involvement in Ukraine’s war with Russia. 1/
The plan was: give US firms priority access to aluminium, lithium, graphite, titanium, oil, and gas.

In return, Kyiv gets stronger military and financial backing against Russia. 2/
Read 10 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 3
People do NOT understand how slowly Russia is advancing in Ukraine and at what huge cost.

Forbes: At current rate, Russia would need until 2256 to capture Ukraine - at a cost of 101 million casualties.

That’s 70% of Russia’s population for 81% of Ukraine’s land. 1/ Image
In April, Russia gained 68 square miles. It lost 4,800 vehicles and over 36,600 troops—killed or wounded.

Ukrainian losses were “minimal,” said Konrad Muzyka of Rochan Consulting. 2/
Russia now fields 600,000 troops in Ukraine - twice the number from February 2022.

It recruits 30,000 a month. Most come for big bonuses and hopes the war ends soon. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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