Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Apr 12, 2024 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The war in Ukraine starts to escalate.

Evidence:

1. On April 11 Russia destroyed the largest power plant in Kyiv 1/
Russia used the latest X-69 to strike at Trypillia TPP, which more advanced than "Kinzhal"

X-69 is a subsonic cruise missile with the range of about 400 km 2/ Image
2. On April 11, Russia attacked two Ukrainian underground gas storage facilities

Bloomberg reports that this attack propelled Europe’s prices: European gas futures rose as much as 9.5% 3/

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Image
3. In addition, Russia damaged a large number of power facilities across the country.

Bloomberg: Moscow used more than 80 missiles and drones, U.S. envoy says situation is 'dire' 4/reuters.com/world/europe/r…
3. These attacks with dozens or hundreds of missiles and drones have been steadily increasing

The UN Assistant General Secretary: We are appalled by the increase in civilian casualties as a result of these relentless attacks.  5/ Image
4. According to the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, at least 126 civilians were killed and 478 injured in March.

This is a 20 per cent increase compared with the previous month.6/

dppa.un.org/en/mtg-sc-9600…
Image
5. In March, Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights also recorded a total of 12 medical facilities and 32 educational facilities destroyed or damaged. 7/
6. On Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant was attacked for the first time since November 2022. Russia accuses Ukraine, Ukraine accuses Russia of the attacks 8/ bbc.co.uk/news/world-eur…
Image
Gen. Christopher G. Cavoli, the top U.S. military commander in Europe, warned that Ukraine could lose the war with Russia if the U.S. does not send more ammunition to Ukrainian forces quickly. 9/

nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/…
Image
7. Frontline Ukrainian forces are rationing artillery shells due to lack of a reliable Western supplier, allowing Russian troops to outfire them 5-to-1, a ratio that could soon increase to 10-to-1 without additional U.S. aid. 10/
8. Russia has reconstituted its army faster than initial U.S. estimates, increasing frontline troop strength by 15% to 470,000 and expanding the conscription age limit. Russia plans to expand its military to 1.5 million troops. 11/

politico.com/news/2024/04/1…
Image
9. Russian missile attacks on Ukraine's energy system, bombardment of Kharkiv, and advances along the front are stoking fears that Ukraine's military is nearing a breaking point. 12/

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Image
Western officials say Ukraine is at its most fragile moment in over two years of war.

Ukrainian officials don’t comment on the “breaking point” but increasingly voice alarming pleas for weapons and air defense 13/
There is a risk of Ukrainian defense collapse which could enable Russia to make a major advance for the first time since the early stages of the war. The next few months will be Ukraine's toughest test. 14/
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy urged his country's allies to make good on their promises of military aid on Thursday, particularly in the form of desperately needed air defence systems as Russia scales up its air strikes 15/

reuters.com/world/europe/u…
Image
So, in short, Ukraine is running out of air defense and weapons, and Russia is taking advantage of it.

Russia can break through unless the West overcomes its political infighting and dysfunctionality to provide support to Ukraine

16/
Democracies are messy, I often hear, but it is the best system. True, but this mess currently makes democracies unable to effectively address Russian threat. It looks more and more like a lack of leadership rather than the usual weakness of democracies. 17X

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 19
Trump administration moved Germany ahead of Switzerland to deliver 2 Patriot systems quickly.

Allowing Berlin to transfer existing units immediately to Ukraine.

Similar agreements are expected soon. — WSJ
1/ Image
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will discuss further military aid to Kyiv in a virtual meeting with NATO defense chiefs on Monday.

A follow-up meeting on Patriot support scheduled Wednesday.

2/
Germany, Norway, Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden, Britain, Canada, and Finland agreed to Trump’s initiative to supply offensive and defensive weapons to Ukraine, with replacements purchased from the U.S.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Jul 19
Russians abducted Yuliya Koveshnikova (53) from her home in Melitopol

The Insider: They put a bag over her head, threw her into a flooded pit - no light, no toilet, and beat her for speaking Ukrainian

Then moved her to a basement. “I heard people tortured to death,” she said 1/ Image
They gave her rotten food or none at all. Her weight dropped, her vision blurred, her hands and joints began to fail.

Russians took her warm clothes. She was left with one pair of socks, one pair of underwear. “Even my eye won’t stop twitching.” 2/
For months, her daughter Anastasiya had no idea if she was alive.

Yuliya had stayed behind for her dogs and parrot — a parrot she had trained to curse at Putin.

Later, freed cellmates said she kept morale up. “She held the pit together.” 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jul 19
Trump: BRICS tried to challenge the dominance of the dollar.

I said we’d impose tariffs, and after that, no one showed up.

We’re not going to let the dollar slide.

A smart president won’t let that happen.
1/
Trump: We’ve made U.S. the crypto capital of the world.

I am so proud of what you've done in the last couple of years.

2/
Trump: The Genius Act creates a clear framework to unleash the potential of dollar-backed stablecoins.

It upgrades the outdated financial system with state-of-the-art crypto technology.

This will strengthen the dollar.
3/
Read 4 tweets
Jul 19
Ukraine just gave the Moscow-linked Orthodox Church a deadline: cut all ties with the Russian Church by August 18 — or face legal consequences, report Ukrainska Pravda.

1/ Image
On July 17, Ukraine’s State Service for Ethnopolitics ordered the UOC-MP to formally sever affiliation with the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC), whose activity is banned in Ukraine.

2/
The order demands:

— Withdrawal of all UOC clergy from ROC synods and councils

— Annulment of all ROC decisions over UOC dioceses

— Official UOC exit from the ROC charter

— Public rejection of ROC leadership by Metropolitan Onufriy

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 18
Putin abducted 19,546 Ukrainian children and returned just 1,200. Ukraine handed him a list of 339 names on June 4. Putin stayed silent, The Times.

1/ Image
Putin’s envoy Medinsky: These so-called kidnapped children were saved by our soldiers. We’ll see how many are here. If you want people crying, show a lost child with a kitten. That’s what they show.

2/
One child, Margarita Prokopenko, disappeared from a Kherson orphanage. Russian MP Sergei Mironov adopted her, renamed her Marina, and issued a fake birth certificate.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Jul 18
Zelenskyy: We maintain full control over state institutions and secured Ukraine's candidacy for the EU. I thank the government of Denys Shmyhal.

New government will transform defense sector and increase Ukraine's economic potential.

Yulia Svyrydenko, welcome to the office! 1/
Zelenskyy: Today is the 1,240th day of full-scale war. Ukraine has been fighting Russia for its independence longer than anyone in the world expected. 2/
Zelenskyy: We maintain full control over state institutions.

We provide the front. Increase our own weapons production, conduct our own defensive operations on Russian territory, inflicting significant damage on Russia. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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