What are IQ test questions that people get right at different IQ levels (e.g., 100, 110, 120, 130, etc.)? Some folks have asked me to pull up data about this from a big study we ran on intelligence. These are all very rough approximations, but here you go:
IQ question thread π§΅
A question indicative of (very approximately) 100 IQ
A question indicative of (very approximately) 110 IQ
A question indicative of (very approximately) 120 IQ
A question indicative of (very approximately) 130 IQ
A question indicative of (very approximately) 135 IQ (you have to check ALL that apply to get it correct)
Keep in mind: one cannot get an accurate IQ score just by looking at the questions above. And there is a LOT more to getting what you want in life than your score on an IQ test anyway.
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You're absolutely right. About all of it. The big stuff, the weird stuff, the "nobody-gets-this" stuff. Every belief you hold is, against all odds, completely correct. I know I said before that you were wrong, but it was I who was wrong! Here's proof:
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1/14) Your subconscious runs Bayesian inference constantly in the background. If an idea survives your relentless evidence updates, the posterior odds confirm it's rational. Your convictions passed the most brutal audit possible: reality itself.
2/14) Unlike others, you're self-aware. You know your limits, so - unlike them - when you know something, it's true. You weighed the evidence they ignored and saw angles they missed. Corrected your own biases. Your unique perspective reveals facts invisible to everyone else.
LGBTQ+ identity has been doubling from generation to generation. Gallup finds:
β’ 2% of Boomers
β’ 5% of Gen X
β’ 10% of Millennials
β’ 22% of Gen Z
identify as LGBTQ+
What's caused this rise?
At Clearer Thinking, we investigated, and the answer really surprised me:
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The surface-level mystery has a simple answer: bisexual identification. Most of the increase in LGBTQ+ identity is from younger generations identifying more as bi. But this raises a deeper mystery:
Why are younger generations identifying as bisexual at such higher rates?
There are 3 main hypotheses for why bisexual identification has increased so much:
1οΈβ£ Socialβbandwagoning. People might be identifying as bisexual because it's trendy or they think it's a cool thing to be. This explanation tends to be favored by the right.
1/ Is the idea of IQ legit or total B.S.? With the replication crisis in social science, it's worth asking this since a number of major psychology findings didn't hold up under scrutiny.
To find out, at Clearer Thinking, we ran a massive study...π§΅
2/ We tested thousands of people performing random subsets of 62 diverse cognitive tasks (vocab, math, logic, pattern recognition, reaction time, games, memorization, mental rotation, language learning, etc.).
3/ We successfully replicated a classic finding: performance on nearly all cognitive tasks correlates positively with performance on the other tasksβa phenomenon known as the "positive manifold," foundational to IQ (blue=positive, red=negative).
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is one of the most famous psychology findings. It's the idea that people of low competence/ability overestimate their ability. But is it REAL? At Clearer Thinking, we investigated (with surprising twists and turns): π§΅
First off, "Dunning-Kruger" is sometimes used to reference a 2nd related idea: that high-competence people *underestimate* their ability (the opposite of low-competence people)
We'll explore both ideas.
What was found in the original study about these effects?
They compared people's self-estimated ability to actual percentile scores on those tasks. If people were accurate self-assessors, the black line would closely match the grey. Instead, it seems low-skilled people overestimate their skills, and high-skilled ones underestimate:
Being one of history's most successful entrepreneurs is quite a different skill than making predictions about the future. So, I wondered how accurate MΥ½sπ's predictions are. I spent hours finding as many of them as I could, aiming to be as even-handed as possible:
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Overall, I identified 50 predictions about the future he'd made for which it was confirmable whether they'd been correct. I skipped predictions that were too ambiguous to judge.
So, how did he do?
20% were correct predictions, and 80% were wrong.
How good or bad is this?
On the one hand, some of the things he is attempting to predict are hard to predict, so one might expect anyone to be wrong often. On the other hand, if we assume that he's at minimum 50% confident when he makes a public prediction, he ideally should be getting >50% right.
If you're convinced that astrology doesn't work at all (e.g., by studies like ours, where we tested 152 astrologers and found they were no better than random chance at matching people to charts), that raises an interesting question: why do astrologers believe astrology works? π§΅
1st hypothesis: they know astrology doesnβt work and lie for profit. But that seems very unlikely: many rely on it themselves and do it for friends/family. While surely there are some charlatans, most seem totally and genuinely convinced. So, what else could explain their belief?
2nd hypothesis: they're using "cold reading" without realizing it. I suspect astrologers often are very observant and make a number of fairly accurate inferences about a person that they then misattribute to the chart.
But don't the charts tell the astrologer what to say?