Die Welt just published an important article on why Germany can't deport anyone. Currently there are 250,000 people living in Germany who have no right to be here. welt.de/politik/deutsc…
2/ Most of these are rejected asylum seekers or people who have committed serious crimes. They're called "Ausreisepflichtige" because they have been informed they have a "duty" (Pflicht) to leave the country. Only a trivial fraction leave voluntarily, since life in Germany
3/ is invariably a thousand times more appealing than life in whatever country they left. So why can't Germany deport these people? The first problem is that 50% of them arrived with no identity papers, some even erasing their own fingerprints with acid.
4/ These migrants are no dummies -- the weaker their asylum claims, the likelier they are to obscure their identity. German authorities must undertake a long, expensive, wearisome procedure to establish who they are and where they came from. Once that's done, they
5/ ask the country of origin to issue temporary ID papers. Many countries of origin refuse to do so or slow-walk the procedure. Maybe they're not eager to repatriate a rapist, or they are more interested in getting the young man's (70% are men) remittances from black.
6/ market work in Germany than they are in adding another to the massive hordes of unemployed, disaffected young males who make so much trouble in their societies. So Germany usually gives up and just issues documents to the illegal immigrant saying his presence in the country
7/ will be "tolerated" indefinitely (Duldung). Yet the authorities do sometimes succeed in getting a deportation order. According to frustrated police officials and bureaucrats who leaked information to "Die Welt" (incredibly, much of this information is non-public).
8/ German authorities obtained 47,760 deportation orders in 2023. Only 16,430 ended with an actual completed deportation. So, 6% of the total number of people residing illegally in German. What happened to the other 2/3 of attempted deportations?
9/ 56 were canceled for physical resistance by the deportee, 86 after doctors said there were "medical grounds" against deportation, 230 times airplane pilots refused to let deportees on the plane. But by far the most common reason was that the police couldn't find the
10/ person to serve the deportation order. Deportees are actually informed in advance that the police are about to come deport them, and many choose to go underground. Police can arrest deportees and hold them, but only for 10 days. If the
11/ stone-age, fax-driven German bureaucracy can't process the final paperwork in that time, they have to be released, after which they promptly disappear. Something like this frustrated almost 30,000 of the 47,000 planned deportations last year.
12/ Germany sometimes charters flights to avoid the problem of commercial captains refusing passage. This is of course incredibly expensive, and also wasteful, since a source tells Die Welt that there's an average no-show rate of 60% for these flights. The system simply
13/ books 200 seats anticipating that all the deportees will obediently show up, and then 60% disappear underground at the last minute. Somehow the bumbling German bureaucracy has not found a solution to this obvious problem despite decades of experience.
14/ So to sum up, once an illegal immigrant lands in Germany, there's a 90% chance they will be able to stay as long as they wish. German laws and regulations are so pockmarked with loopholes that deportation only occurs when the deportee basically accepts their fate.
15/ The other unintended consequence of this regime is that it's the most honest, law-abiding illegal immigrants who get deported, because they're much easier to find. Some manage to raise families and even start businesses without
16/ clearing up their immigration status. And when their name pops up, it's child's play to locate them. So German immigration law, in many cases, expels immigrants who are much better integrated than the ones who disappear underground.
17/ Whenever you contemplate why more and more Germans are drawn to populist parties, it's helpful to keep in mind that this utterly broken system was designed over decades by every German mainstream party, and none of them has any coherent plan to fix it.
@AschRonald ...although it's never the judges and bureaucrats who have to sacrifice anything themselves, mind you.
@fckisam1676 And trust me, I've spoken with dozens of German welfare bureaucrats and they all assure me that it's nearly impossible to detect fraudulent recipients, I asked a guy in D'Dorf how many on the welfare rolls here were foreigners and he said "80%".
@fckisam1676 Basically you show up with false papers in Georgian or Albanian or some other language, get a "Duldung", and then the welfare bureaucrat has a choice: 1. launch a complex and expensive investigation to verify the papers, or 2. just grant the welfare request? Not only
@fckisam1676 does 1. require massive loads of paperwork, thanks to insane German bureaucracy, it's also likely to be more expensive than 10 years of welfare.
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1/ How "Feminist" Foreign Policy Endangers Women in Germany
Outgoing Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock from the Green Party proudly announced that she would be implementing a "feminist" foreign policy.
2/ You can read speech after speech from her describing what this was supposed to mean, but
it seems to just boil down to spending more money on aid projects for women and expressing disapproval of countries where women are denied basic rights.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/newsroom/ba…
3/ This being the Green Party, though, Baerbock stresses that "85 percent of the projects we finance are gender-sensitive and 8 percent are gender-transformative."
So how does this endanger women in Germany?
1/ It's a shame that modern sociology is so ideologically demented, because it would be intersting to compare the movement to legalize pedophilia in the 1970s and 1980s to the movement for trans self-id in the last 10 years (obvious but necessary disclaimer: not equating…
2/ …pedophilia with transness).
In the early 1970s, leftist French academics decided the next phase of their "liberatory crusade" were abolishing prisons and legalizing sex with children. The German greens took up these ideas, especially sex with children.
3/ The framing was that society needed to get over its hang-ups and children were inherently sexual and had a "right" to live this truth, including by having sexual relationships with adults.
1/ One of the highlights of Germany's decade-long immigration free for all was October 2015, at the height of the first surge. For the past months, Germany mainstream media consumers had been patiently instructed by a series of politicians and "migration experts"
2/ that "reputable scientific studies" had "conclusively shown" that "pull factors play little or no role in immigration". What's key are "push factors" -- the terrible conditions migrants are fleeing. Which means, of course, that Germany cannot control the situation
3/ and must simply lie back and think of the UN, "there is no alternative". And then, in mid-October, the public TV channel ZDF interviewed a random old man among the stream of migrants and asked him where he was headed. He replied (in my recollection, original's hard to find):
1/ Big news: *National AfD Gets the "Extreme Right" Stamp of Disapproval*
Germany's "Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution" (OPC) has released a report categorizing the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party as "gesichert rechtsextremistisch"...
2/ a clumsy phrase which can be translated as "demonstrably extreme-right".
This will have considerable political and PR implications, and will of course be cited by every English-language publication as a kind of Homeric epithet.faz.net/aktuell/politi…
3/ I haven't read the report, but it almost certainly contains the same reasoning as the reports of state-level "Offices for the Protection of the Constitution" which have reached the same conclusion.
1/ Every week, as per British law, the Guardian is obliged to print an article by an English-speaking expat complaining about how "right-wing" the European country they live in has "become". This is what I call the "laptop-class bubble effect" (LCBE). theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
2/ A left-learning American or Brit teacher, professor, writer, or art type (there are 100 engineers and data analysis expats for every one of these, but those people don't count), sickened by the endemic racism and anti-intellectualism of their home countries,
3/ moves to some European country, hoping for a more sympathetic political and social climate. In most cases, their idea of their adoptive home country is based on years of *English-language* press coverage. This coverage invariably highlights the types of people and subjects
1/ Sketch of some thoughts for an upcoming piece: Identity politics, postmodernism (and specialization, which is somewhat related to these) caused a big structural problem for the humanities which is now coming home to roost.
2/ Humanities professors, especially at public universities, are parasitic. They consume (modest amounts of) resources without instilling *high-value* marketable skills.
3/ (Sorry, editing and writing aren't high-value -- I have the bank balance to prove it.) They generate no profitable patents, and alumnae don't make enough money to donate huge amounts.