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Many find it hard to believe that the American public would re-elect a bumbling nitwit. However, a significant portion of Americans have been brainwashed by media propaganda to view President Trump as “racist” and the reincarnation of Adolf Hitler. Our state-run regime media has been relentless in spreading these false narratives. Take the Russia hoax, for instance, and other distorted stories. There’s also their refusal to correct fake news, like the “very fine people” hoax, which even Joe Biden refers to as truth, with no correction from the hacks within our media. It seems the prevailing attitude among them is that when it comes to defeating Trump, the ends justify the means. Basically, anything goes.

With this in mind, there’s a new theory emerging regarding the current polling. We’ve seen numerous polls showing President Trump way ahead of Joe Biden, which has brought a sense of relief to many conservatives. But could there be more to this narrative? According to the New York Times, the answer is yes. They have a new theory, and it goes like this: Trump’s high polling numbers are due to the fact that pollsters are focusing on the registered voter matrix, a demographic where he performs exceptionally well. In essence, he’s popular among those who don’t necessarily turn out to vote. On the flip side, the New York Times reports that Biden does much better than President Trump among “likely voters”—those  who are expected to actually cast a vote. This is where the real concern lies.

The New York Times:

Mr. Biden leads by six points among voters who participated in the 2020 election, while Mr. Trump holds an overwhelming 22-point lead among those who did not vote in 2020. In our estimation, needless to say, 2020 nonvoters are less likely to vote in 2024, and that’s why we show Mr. Biden ahead among likely voters.

Now, since this is coming from the NYT, many of you might shrug it off as more “fake news,” and we wouldn’t blame you, but it’s fair to note that very respectable pollsters on our side, like Richard Baris, have also talked about this being a real issue.

This isn’t to suggest that Trump’s popularity and gains aren’t genuine. Here’s Richard Baris discussing Trump’s rising support with Steve Bannon:

However, this underscores just how crucial the Republican “Get Out the Vote” effort is at this moment. If the New York Times’ analysis holds true, we’re looking at a situation that’s both good and bad. There’s a massive pool of non-voters we could potentially mobilize. But if we fail to engage them and make darn sure they vote, Biden could surprisingly gain ground, despite his poor track record and sad mental state. We should never underestimate the power of stupid voters or sketchy mail-in ballots—both could significantly sway the outcome.

That theory aside, the New York Times does see legitimate trouble on the horizon for Biden thanks to the Israel/Palestine situation, especially with young people.

The New York Times:

As recently as this summer, a poll with Donald J. Trump leading among young voters would have been eye-popping.

Now, it’s increasingly familiar — and our new New York Times/Siena College national survey released Tuesday morning is no exception.

For the first time, Mr. Trump leads President Biden among young voters in a Times/Siena national survey, 49 percent to 43 percent. It’s enough to give him a narrow 46-44 lead among registered voters overall.

Usually, it’s not worth dwelling too much on a subsample from a single poll, but this basic story about young voters is present in nearly every major survey at this point. Our own battleground state surveys in the fall showed something similar, with Mr. Biden ahead by a single point among those 18 to 29. Either figure is a big shift from Mr. Biden’s 21-point lead in our final poll before the midterms or his 10-point lead in our last national poll in July.

And there’s a plausible explanation for the shift in recent months: Israel.

These young voters are the ones who are most likely to dump Joe for President Trump, according to the NYT piece:

You might think that the young voters with these progressive or even left-wing views would be among the most likely to stick with Mr. Biden. At least for now, that’s not the case. The young Biden ’20 voters with anti-Israel views are the likeliest to report switching to Mr. Trump.

Overall, Mr. Trump is winning 21 percent of young Biden ’20 voters who sympathize more with Palestinians than Israel, while winning 12 percent of other young Biden ’20 voters. In an even more striking sign of defections among his own supporters, Mr. Biden holds just a 64-24 lead among the young Biden ’20 voters who say Israel is intentionally killing civilians, compared with an 84-8 lead among the Biden ’20 voters who don’t think Israel is intentionally killing civilians.

It’s possible that the kinds of young voters opposed to Israel already opposed Mr. Biden back before the war. That can’t be ruled out. But it’s still evidence that opposition to the war itself is probably contributing to Mr. Biden’s unusual weakness among young voters.

The bottom line is this: the New York Times’ theory on likely voters versus registered voters is noteworthy, but President Trump is still in a much stronger position than Biden. If Trump supporters concentrate on mobilizing the vote and converting non-voters into active voters, President Trump could experience a significant surge in support. This could pave the way for a substantial victory, in spite of the left’s ballot-harvesting schemes.

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