Trump’s biggest lead yet, 47 points is widest since June 2022

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Emerson said there was a “Trump bump” in the latest survey that showed him supported by 59% of Republican voters. Second is Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) at 12%, followed by Vivek Ramaswamy at 7%, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Vice President Mike Pence at 5%, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley at 3%, and Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) at 2%. Five percent are undecided.

In its review, Emerson said: “The September Emerson College Polling national survey of U.S. voters finds former President Donald Trump with a 47-point lead over his closest competitor in the Republican presidential primary, his largest lead since tracking this race in June 2022. Trump’s support increased 9 points since last month’s national poll.”

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said, “The Trump voter remains resilient, and despite a dip in August’s post-debate poll, Trump has now expanded his lead and has improved his position from before the first debate.”

But just as no GOP challenger appears able to catch Trump in national polls, nothing is changing the outcome of head-to-head general election surveys pitting Trump against President Joe Biden. In Emerson’s latest, it remains a dead heat with 45% for both.

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Still, Kimball found that Biden’s health is hanging over voters, suggesting any further decline could affect the final vote.

“Republican and independent voters think Biden’s age makes the job of president too difficult, at 79% and 54%, respectively, while only a third of Democrats say the same,” Kimball said. “Of those who think Biden’s age makes the job too difficult, 67% plan to vote for Trump in a general election, while 21% would vote for Biden, and 12% are unsure.”