Well, this is definitely the shock poll of the day.
??? ????: Lee Zeldin holds ? ????? lead over Kathy Hochul in New York Governor Race
(R) Lee Zeldin 46% (+1)
(D) Kathy Hochul 45%Independents
(R) Lee Zeldin 47% (+9)
(D) Kathy Hochul 38%⦿ @coefficientpoll | 1056 LV | 10/18-19
https://t.co/EkHEVE0OFt pic.twitter.com/I2COE9Z0VJ— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
No doubt, Zeldin is quickly gaining ground on Pastor Kathy Hochul, who tried to make it seem like it was our Christian duty to get the vaccine, but can he actually win? If so, that portends a giant red tsunami nationwide.
The other polls are looking quite good for MAGA Republicans as well.
Kari Lake holds the lead and Blake Masters looks well-positioned to pull off the upset.
NEW: @coefficientpoll
AZ SENATE
(D) Mark Kelly 47% (+2)
(R) Blake Masters 45%AZ GOVERNOR
(R) Kari Lake 49% (+4)
(D) Katie Hobbs 45%⦿ 10/20-21 | 1,111 LV | MoE ±3%https://t.co/tDvJsQWb3H
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Laxalt and Lombardo may be starting to pull away. Can they overcome the Clark County Dem election theft machine?
? NEVADA POLL By Rasmussen
SENATE
(R) Adam Laxalt 48% (+5)
(D) Catherine Cortez Masto 43%GOVERNOR
(R) Joe Lombardo 47% (+5)
(D) Steve Sisolak 42%GEN BALLOT
Republicans 49% (+9)
Democrats 40%707 LV | 10/13-17 | MoE ±4%https://t.co/8LFHxP0xaP pic.twitter.com/mBbxDm7bfL
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
This Dem incumbent is in big trouble:
Virginia House District 2 General Poll
Jennifer Kiggans (R): 45% (=)
Elaine Luria (D-inc): 45%Governor Youngkin (VA-2)
Approve 56%
Disapprove 34%⦿ @WasonCenter
⦿ October 12-18 | 820 likely votershttps://t.co/07AGOTLrGQ— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Shock poll has Trump at 50. I guess the biggest case for Trump 2024 is four years of Joe Biden ruining America.
??? ????: Donald Trump holds ? ????? lead over Joe Biden — McLaughlin and Associates (R)
2024 Pres. Election
(R) Donald Trump 50% (+6)
(D) Joe Biden 44%⦿ Indies: 47/41 (Trump +6)
⦿ Suburban: 49/45 (Trump +4)
⦿ Midwest: 52/43 (Trump +9)https://t.co/uNKvWx77Fi pic.twitter.com/69S6PXia2P— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Now here we are in red tsunami territory, if the poll is accurate:
??? ????: Republicans hold ? ????? lead over Democrats on Generic Ballot
Republicans 49% (+6)
Democrats 43%⦿ +2 points towards R's from Sept
⦿ McLaughlin and Associates (R)
⦿ D37/R36/I27 | 10/14-16 | 1,500 LVhttps://t.co/uNKvWx77Fi pic.twitter.com/XTAntDzEL6— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Here’s another poll showing the GOP +5, but there do seem to be a lot of undecideds.
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot
Republicans 46% (+5)
Democrats 41%Almost Certain to vote
Republicans 51% (+10)
Democrats 41%⦿ 5 point shift towards the GOP from Sept
⦿ Midwest: GOP +12
⦿ Independents: GOP +9Emerson | 1,000 ?? | 10/18-19https://t.co/2XZaYTAy9x pic.twitter.com/RkUNOBq27U
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Tsunami?
Change in generic ballot, September to October:
⦿ NYT/Siena: D+2 —> R+4
⦿ CBS News: R+1 —-> R+2
⦿ Harvard-Harris: D+2 —-> R+6
⦿ Big Data Poll: R+1 —-> R+5
⦿ Economist: D+2 —-> R+1
⦿ Monmouth: R+3 —-> R+6
⦿ Politico: D+4 —-> D+1
⦿ Rasmussen: R+1 —-> R+7 pic.twitter.com/jY4O3orNUm— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
In Ohio, we expect that Vance will finish much stronger than this and easily clear the 50 percent benchmark:
? OHIO POLL By Cygnal (R)
SEN
(R) Vance 47% (+3)
(D) Ryan 44%GOV
(R) DeWine 55% (+18)
(D) Whaley 37%SOS
(R) LaRose 48% (+18)
(D) Clark 34%AG
(R) Yost 52% (+16)
(D) Crossman 36%GEN BALLOT
GOP — 52% (R+10)
Dem — 42%1,540 LV | 10/16-20 | ±2.5https://t.co/l59vmhFsoo
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Roger Stone is worried about Marco Rubio, and so are we. He’s been running a stale, mediocre, old-school GOP campaign. And yet, DeSantis will probably pull him over the finish line as he obliterates Charlie Crist.
? FLORIDA POLL By FAU
GOVERNOR
(R) Ron DeSantis 51% (+11)
(D) Charlie Crist 40%SENATE
(R) Marco Rubio 48% (+6)
(D) Val Demings 42%PRESIDENT
(R) Ron DeSantis 48% (+6)
(D) Joe Biden 42%(R) Donald Trump 45% (+4)
(D) Joe Biden 41%719 LV | 10/12-16https://t.co/ul1eg61PwB pic.twitter.com/rcdl1OiL3L
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Can even Bolduc ride the anti-Biden wave to a New Hampshire upset?
NEW: @Fabrizio_Lee (R)
NH SENATE
(D) Maggie Hassan 49% (+2)
(R) Don Bolduc 47%NH GOVERNOR
(R) Chris Sununu 57% (+17)
(D) Tom Sherman 40%NH Generic Ballot
Democrats 48% (+1)
Republicans 47% pic.twitter.com/W7hbkiR8y9— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Patrick and Paxton are majorly surging in Texas. BETO male is history, sayonara. Wonder where his grifting for social media clicks will land him next, over at Hutu Radio MSNBC?
S? TEXAS POLL By @TxPolProject
Governor
(R) Greg Abbot 54% (+11)
(D) Beto O'Rourke 43%Lt Governor
(R) Dan Patrick 51% (+15)
(D) Mike Collier 36%Attorney General
(R) Ken Paxton 51% (+14)
(D) Rochelle Garza 37%883 LV | 10/07-17https://t.co/x11oFVP1e6 pic.twitter.com/ZTR6xuHfar
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
Can Nurse Ratched in Michigan be knocked off? Maybe.
? New Mitchell poll has Tudor Dixon
within 2 points against Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan Governor Race(D) Gretchen Whitmer 49% (+2)
(R) Tudor Dixon 47%⦿ Mitchell Research
⦿ 10/19 | MoE ±2.1 | N=541 pic.twitter.com/W1B8xmW4Sg— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 21, 2022
One big question is, how will the undecided voters swing? They usually shift against an unpopular incumbent party as voters typically signify they want change. We shall see.
Join the Discussion